THE WWRP POLAR PREDICTION PROJECT (PPP)


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helge.goessling [ at ] awi.de

Abstract

Mission statement: “Promote cooperative international research enabling development of improved weather and environmental prediction services for the polar regions, on time scales from hours to seasonal”. Increased economic, transportation and research activities in polar regions are leading to more demands for sustained and improved availability of predictive weather and climate information to support decision-making. However, partly as a result of a strong emphasis of previous international efforts on lower and middle latitudes, many gaps in weather, sub-seasonal and seasonal forecasting in polar regions hamper reliable decision making in the Arctic, Antarctic and possibly the middle latitudes as well. In order to advance polar prediction capabilities, the WWRP Polar Prediction Project (PPP) has been established as one of three THORPEX (THe Observing System Research and Predictability EXperiment) legacy activities. The aim of PPP, a ten year endeavour (2013-2022), is to promote cooperative international research enabling development of improved weather and environmental prediction services for the polar regions, on hourly to seasonal time scales. In order to achieve its goals, PPP will enhance international and interdisciplinary collaboration through the development of strong linkages with related initiatives; strengthen linkages between academia, research institutions and operational forecasting centres; promote interactions and communication between research and stakeholders; and foster education and outreach. Flagship research activities of PPP include sea ice prediction, polar-lower latitude linkages and the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) - an intensive observational, coupled modelling, service-oriented research and educational effort in the period mid-2017 to mid-2019.



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38291
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Jung, T. , Bauer, P. , Goessling, H. F. , Gordon, N. , Klebe, S. , Bromwich, D. H. , Doblas-Reyes, F. , Day, J. J. , Fairall, C. W. , Holland, M. , Iversen, T. , Lemke, P. , Mills, B. , Nurmi, P. , Perovich, D. K. , Reid, P. , Renfrew, I. , Smith, G. , Svensson, G. and Tolstykh, M. (2015): THE WWRP POLAR PREDICTION PROJECT (PPP) , In: SEAMLESS PREDICTION OF THE EARTH SYSTEM: FROM MINUTES TO MONTHS, WMO-No. 1156, Geneva, WMO, 471 p., ISBN: 978-92-63-11156-2 .


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