Antarctic ice sheet response to sudden and sustained ice-shelf collapse (ABUMIP)
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0244-8760, Kazmierczak, Elise, Kleiner, Thomas
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7825-5765, Leguy, Gunter R., Lipscomb, William H., Martin, Daniel, Morlighem, Mathieu, Nowicki, Sophie, Pollard, David, Price, Stephen, Quiquet, Aurélien, Seroussi, Hélène, Schlemm, Tanja, Sutter, Johannes
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3357-2633, van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Winkelmann, Ricarda and Zhang, Tong
;
Antarctica's ice shelves modulate the grounded ice flow, and weakening of ice shelves due to climate forcing will decrease their ‘buttressing’ effect, causing a response in the grounded ice. While the processes governing ice-shelf weakening are complex, uncertainties in the response of the grounded ice sheet are also difficult to assess. The Antarctic BUttressing Model Intercomparison Project (ABUMIP) compares ice-sheet model responses to decrease in buttressing by investigating the ‘end-member’ scenario of total and sustained loss of ice shelves. Although unrealistic, this scenario enables gauging the sensitivity of an ensemble of 15 ice-sheet models to a total loss of buttressing, hence exhibiting the full potential of marine ice-sheet instability. All models predict that this scenario leads to multi-metre (1–12 m) sea-level rise over 500 years from present day. West Antarctic ice sheet collapse alone leads to a 1.91–5.08 m sea-level rise due to the marine ice-sheet instability. Mass loss rates are a strong function of the sliding/friction law, with plastic laws cause a further destabilization of the Aurora and Wilkes Subglacial Basins, East Antarctica. Improvements to marine ice-sheet models have greatly reduced variability between modelled ice-sheet responses to extreme ice-shelf loss, e.g. compared to the SeaRISE assessments.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0244-8760, Kazmierczak, Elise, Kleiner, Thomas
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7825-5765, Leguy, Gunter R., Lipscomb, William H., Martin, Daniel, Morlighem, Mathieu, Nowicki, Sophie, Pollard, David, Price, Stephen, Quiquet, Aurélien, Seroussi, Hélène, Schlemm, Tanja, Sutter, Johannes
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3357-2633, van de Wal, Roderik S. W., Winkelmann, Ricarda and Zhang, Tong
;
antarctic-ice-sheet-response-to-sudden-and-sustained-ice-shelf-collapse-abumip.pdf
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