Designing More Informative Multiple-Driver Experiments


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Ravi Ranjan

Abstract

<jats:p> For decades, multiple-driver/stressor research has examined interactions among drivers that will undergo large changes in the future: temperature, pH, nutrients, oxygen, pathogens, and more. However, the most commonly used experimental designs—present-versus-future and ANOVA—fail to contribute to general understanding or predictive power. Linking experimental design to process-based mathematical models would help us predict how ecosystems will behave in novel environmental conditions. We review a range of experimental designs and assess the best experimental path toward a predictive ecology. Full factorial response surface, fractional factorial, quadratic response surface, custom, space-filling, and especially optimal and sequential/adaptive designs can help us achieve more valuable scientific goals. Experiments using these designs are challenging to perform with long-lived organisms or at the community and ecosystem levels. But they remain our most promising path toward linking experiments and theory in multiple-driver research and making accurate, useful predictions. </jats:p>



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Published
Eprint ID
58270
DOI 10.1146/annurev-marine-041823-095913

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Thomas, M. K. and Ranjan, R. (2024): Designing More Informative Multiple-Driver Experiments , Annual Review of Marine Science, 16 (1), pp. 513-536 . doi: 10.1146/annurev-marine-041823-095913


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