Globally coherent water cycle response to temperature change during the past two millennia


Contact
enquiries [ at ] symplectic.co.uk

Abstract

The response of the global water cycle to changes in global surface temperature remains an outstanding question in future climate projections and in past climate reconstructions. The stable hydrogen and oxygen isotope compositions of precipitation (δprecip), meteoric water (δMW) and seawater (δSW) integrate processes from microphysical to global scales and thus are uniquely positioned to track global hydroclimate variations. Here we evaluate global hydroclimate during the past 2,000 years using a globally distributed compilation of proxies for δprecip, δMW and δSW. We show that global mean surface temperature exerted a coherent influence on global δprecip and δMW throughout the past two millennia, driven by global ocean evaporation and condensation processes, with lower values during the Little Ice Age (1450–1850) and higher values after the onset of anthropogenic warming (~1850). The Pacific Walker Circulation is a predominant source of regional variability, particularly since 1850. Our results demonstrate rapid adjustments in global precipitation and atmospheric circulation patterns—within decades—as the planet warms and cools.



Item Type
Article
Authors
Divisions
Primary Division
Programs
Primary Topic
Publication Status
Published
Eprint ID
59807
DOI 10.1038/s41561-023-01291-3

Cite as
Konecky, B. L. , McKay, N. P. , Falster, G. M. , Stevenson, S. L. , Fischer, M. J. , Atwood, A. R. , Thompson, D. M. , Jones, M. D. , Tyler, J. J. , DeLong, K. L. , Martrat, B. , Thomas, E. K. , Conroy, J. L. , Dee, S. G. , Jonkers, L. , Churakova (Sidorova), O. V. , Kern, Z. , Opel, T. , Porter, T. J. , Sayani, H. R. and Skrzypek, G. (2023): Globally coherent water cycle response to temperature change during the past two millennia , Nature Geoscience, 16 (11), pp. 997-1004 . doi: 10.1038/s41561-023-01291-3


Download
[thumbnail of s41561-023-01291-3.pdf]
Preview
PDF
s41561-023-01291-3.pdf - Other

Download (11MB) | Preview

Share
Add to AnyAdd to TwitterAdd to FacebookAdd to LinkedinAdd to PinterestAdd to Email


Citation

Research Platforms
N/A


Actions
Edit Item Edit Item