Variability, extremes, and tipping in a changing Antarctic climate
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6473-0243
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Antarctica is changing faster than our current observation networks can robustly assess or predict. Recent extreme events – major ice-shelf collapse, unprecedented heatwaves and abrupt, record-low winter sea ice – show that rare extremes can rapidly reshape the Antarctic system. These changes matter well beyond the polar regions: Antarctica influences global sea level, ocean circulation, and the whole climate system. This white paper sets out the case for Antarctica InSync (2027–2030) to deliver a four-year, coordinated observational baseline ahead of the International Polar Year 2031/32, so it is possible to distinguish temporary anomalies from long-term shifts, detect early warning signs of tipping points, and improve the evidence base for risk management.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6473-0243
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