Variability, extremes, and tipping in a changing Antarctic climate


Contact
martin.werner [ at ] awi.de

Abstract

Antarctica is changing faster than our current observation networks can robustly assess or predict. Recent extreme events – major ice-shelf collapse, unprecedented heatwaves and abrupt, record-low winter sea ice – show that rare extremes can rapidly reshape the Antarctic system. These changes matter well beyond the polar regions: Antarctica influences global sea level, ocean circulation, and the whole climate system. This white paper sets out the case for Antarctica InSync (2027–2030) to deliver a four-year, coordinated observational baseline ahead of the International Polar Year 2031/32, so it is possible to distinguish temporary anomalies from long-term shifts, detect early warning signs of tipping points, and improve the evidence base for risk management.



Item Type
Article
Authors
Divisions
Primary Division
Programs
Primary Topic
Publication Status
Published online
Eprint ID
60899
DOI 10.67382/lvkg3981

Cite as
Casado, M. , Gorodetskaya, I. , Sime, L. and Werner, M. (2026): Variability, extremes, and tipping in a changing Antarctic climate , SCAR Website, pp. 115-129 . doi: 10.67382/lvkg3981


Download
[thumbnail of Theme07.pdf]
Preview
PDF
Theme07.pdf - Other

Download (653kB) | Preview

Share
Add to AnyAdd to TwitterAdd to FacebookAdd to LinkedinAdd to PinterestAdd to Email


Citation

Research Platforms
N/A


Actions
Edit Item Edit Item